Home/UEFA Tips/Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz
Europa LeagueWednesday, 24 September 2025 · Full-time2-0✓
MID

Midtjylland

VS
STU

Sturm Graz

Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Under2.5 goals
69% confidence

Why we picked this for Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Midtjylland against Sturm Graz (Europa League), rated at 69% confidence. Matches involving Midtjylland produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Sturm Graz it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 2 of their last 2 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 69%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Midtjylland last 5
2.8
avg goals, Sturm Graz last 5
0%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Midtjylland
Midtjylland 2-0 Viborg
Sep 20, 2025
Under 2.5✓
FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Midtjylland
Sep 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Brondby 1-3 Midtjylland
Aug 31, 2025
Over 2.5✕
KuPS Kuopio 0-2 Midtjylland
Aug 28, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Midtjylland 4-2 Silkeborg
Aug 24, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Sturm Graz
FC Red Bull Salzburg 0-2 Sturm Graz
Sep 20, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Sturm Graz 0-1 Austria Wien
Sep 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Grazer AK 0-3 Sturm Graz
Aug 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Sturm Graz 2-1 Bodo/Glimt
Aug 26, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Sturm Graz
Aug 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 03, 2022MidtjyllandSturm Graz2-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 08, 2022Sturm GrazMidtjylland1-0
Under 2.5✓