Coppa ItaliaTuesday, 23 September 2025 · Full-time3-0✓
AC
AC Milan
VS
LEC
Lecce
AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction
Over2.5 goals
56% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for AC Milan vs Lecce
Our pick for AC Milan vs Lecce in Coppa Italia is Over 2.5 goals, with 56% confidence. Recent form: 2 of AC Milan's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Lecce (2.4 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. The 56% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 3-0, so Over 2.5 landed.
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2.2
avg goals, AC Milan last 5
2.4
avg goals, Lecce last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
AC Milan
Udinese Calcio 0-3 AC Milan
Over 2.5✓Sep 20, 2025
AC Milan 1-0 Bologna
Under 2.5✕Sep 14, 2025
Lecce 0-2 AC Milan
Under 2.5✕Aug 29, 2025
AC Milan 1-2 Cremonese
Over 2.5✓Aug 23, 2025
AC Milan 2-0 Bari
Under 2.5✕Aug 17, 2025
Lecce
Lecce 1-2 Cagliari Calcio
Over 2.5✓Sep 19, 2025
Atalanta 4-1 Lecce
Over 2.5✓Sep 14, 2025
Lecce 0-2 AC Milan
Under 2.5✕Aug 29, 2025
Genoa 0-0 Lecce
Under 2.5✕Aug 23, 2025
Lecce 2-0 Juve Stabia
Under 2.5✕Aug 15, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
AC Milan vs Lecce, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2025 | Lecce | AC Milan | 0-2 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Lecce | AC Milan | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 27, 2024 | AC Milan | Lecce | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 06, 2024 | AC Milan | Lecce | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Lecce | AC Milan | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |