Home/International Tips/Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory
FriendliesWednesday, 24 September 2025 · Full-time3-0✓
MEL

Melbourne Victory

VS
PER

Perth Glory

Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory Prediction

Over2.5 goals
74% confidence

Why we picked this for Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory

For this Friendlies fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory, at 74% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Melbourne Victory's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Perth Glory's games averaged 3.2, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, Melbourne Victory last 5
3.2
avg goals, Perth Glory last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City FC 1-0 Melbourne Victory
May 31, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Auckland 0-2 Melbourne Victory
May 24, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne Victory 0-1 Auckland
May 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Western Sydney 1-2 Melbourne Victory
May 10, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory 1-1 Newcastle Jets
May 04, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Perth Glory
Wellington Phoenix 0-2 Perth Glory
May 04, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Auckland 1-0 Perth Glory
Apr 27, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Perth Glory 4-1 Adelaide United
Apr 12, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Western United 3-1 Perth Glory
Apr 05, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Central Coast Mariners 3-1 Perth Glory
Mar 30, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 01, 2025Perth GloryMelbourne Victory0-2
Under 2.5✕
Dec 08, 2024Melbourne VictoryPerth Glory2-0
Under 2.5✕
Mar 31, 2024Melbourne VictoryPerth Glory2-1
Over 2.5✓
Jan 06, 2024Perth GloryMelbourne Victory2-3
Over 2.5✓
Apr 09, 2023Melbourne VictoryPerth Glory0-0
Under 2.5✕