Home/Germany Tips/Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund
BundesligaSaturday, 27 September 2025 · Full-time0-2✕
MAI

Mainz 05

VS
BOR

Borussia Dortmund

Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Over2.5 goals
81% confidence

Why we picked this for Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund

For this Bundesliga fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, at 81% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Mainz 05's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Borussia Dortmund's games averaged 4.0, with 3 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. A confidence of 81% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 0-2, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Mainz 05 last 5
4.0
avg goals, Borussia Dortmund last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Mainz 05
Augsburg 1-4 Mainz 05
Sep 20, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Mainz 05 0-1 RB Leipzig
Sep 13, 2025
Under 2.5✕
VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 Mainz 05
Aug 31, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Mainz 05 4-1 Rosenborg
Aug 28, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Mainz 05 0-1 FC Koln
Aug 24, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg
Sep 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Juventus 4-4 Borussia Dortmund
Sep 16, 2025
Over 2.5✓
FC Heidenheim 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
Sep 13, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Union Berlin
Aug 31, 2025
Over 2.5✓
St.Pauli 3-3 Borussia Dortmund
Aug 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 30, 2025Borussia DortmundMainz 053-1
Over 2.5✓
Nov 09, 2024Mainz 05Borussia Dortmund3-1
Over 2.5✓
May 11, 2024Mainz 05Borussia Dortmund3-0
Over 2.5✓
Dec 19, 2023Borussia DortmundMainz 051-1
Under 2.5✕
May 27, 2023Borussia DortmundMainz 052-2
Over 2.5✓