Home/Mexico Tips/Puebla vs Guadalajara
Liga MXSunday, 28 September 2025 · Full-time0-2✓
PUE

Puebla

VS
GUA

Guadalajara

Puebla vs Guadalajara Prediction

Under2.5 goals
75% confidence

Why we picked this for Puebla vs Guadalajara

Our pick for Puebla vs Guadalajara in Liga MX is Under 2.5 goals, with 75% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Puebla's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Guadalajara (2.6 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 75%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Puebla last 5
2.6
avg goals, Guadalajara last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Puebla
Puebla 2-2 Pachuca
Sep 24, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Club Necaxa 1-0 Puebla
Sep 20, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca 3-1 Puebla
Sep 14, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Puebla 2-4 Monterrey
Aug 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Pumas UNAM 0-0 Puebla
Aug 25, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Guadalajara
Guadalajara 3-1 Club Necaxa
Sep 24, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Guadalajara 0-3 Deportivo Toluca
Sep 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Guadalajara 0-0 Tigres
Sep 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Club America 1-2 Guadalajara
Sep 14, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Guadalajara 1-2 Cruz Azul
Aug 31, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Puebla vs Guadalajara, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 16, 2025GuadalajaraPuebla1-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 26, 2024PueblaGuadalajara1-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 07, 2024GuadalajaraPuebla3-2
Over 2.5✕
Oct 21, 2023PueblaGuadalajara0-2
Under 2.5✓
Mar 11, 2023PueblaGuadalajara1-0
Under 2.5✓