Serie ASunday, 28 September 2025 · Full-time3-1✕
GRE
Gremio
VS
VIT
Vitoria BA
Gremio vs Vitoria BA Prediction
Under2.5 goals
95% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Gremio vs Vitoria BA
For this Serie A fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Gremio vs Vitoria BA, at 95% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Gremio's games produced 2.0 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Vitoria BA's games averaged 3.2, with 2 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 95%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick lost.
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2.0
avg goals, Gremio last 5
3.2
avg goals, Vitoria BA last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Gremio
Gremio 1-1 Botafogo RJ
Under 2.5✓Sep 25, 2025
Internacional RS 2-3 Gremio
Over 2.5✕Sep 21, 2025
Gremio 0-1 Mirassol
Under 2.5✓Sep 13, 2025
Flamengo 1-1 Gremio
Under 2.5✓Aug 31, 2025
Gremio 0-0 Ceará
Under 2.5✓Aug 24, 2025
Vitoria BA
Vitoria BA 0-1 Fluminense RJ
Under 2.5✓Sep 20, 2025
Fortaleza 2-0 Vitoria BA
Under 2.5✓Sep 13, 2025
Vitoria BA 1-0 Atletico MG
Under 2.5✓Aug 31, 2025
Flamengo 8-0 Vitoria BA
Over 2.5✕Aug 26, 2025
Vitoria BA 2-2 Juventude RS
Over 2.5✕Aug 16, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Gremio vs Vitoria BA, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Vitoria BA | Gremio | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 05, 2024 | Vitoria BA | Gremio | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Gremio | Vitoria BA | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Aug 04, 2021 | Gremio | Vitoria BA | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Vitoria BA | Gremio | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |