Home/UEFA Tips/Chelsea vs Benfica
Champions LeagueTuesday, 30 September 2025 · Full-time1-0✓
CHE

Chelsea

VS
BEN

Benfica

Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction

Under2.5 goals
93% confidence

Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Benfica

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Chelsea against Benfica (Champions League), rated at 93% confidence. Matches involving Chelsea produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Benfica it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 1 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. A confidence of 93% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
3.0
avg goals, Benfica last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chelsea
Chelsea 1-3 Brighton
Sep 27, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Manchester United 2-1 Chelsea
Sep 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Bayern Munich 3-1 Chelsea
Sep 17, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
Sep 13, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 2-0 Fulham
Aug 30, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Benfica
Benfica 2-1 Gil Vicente
Sep 26, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Benfica 1-1 Rio Ave
Sep 23, 2025
Under 2.5✓
AVS 0-3 Benfica
Sep 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Benfica 2-3 FK Qarabag
Sep 16, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Benfica 1-1 Santa Clara
Sep 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last meeting

Chelsea vs Benfica, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jun 28, 2025BenficaChelsea1-1
Under 2.5✓