Home/Portugal Tips/Nacional vs Moreirense
Primeira LigaSaturday, 04 October 2025 · Full-time3-2✕
NAC

Nacional

VS
MOR

Moreirense

Nacional vs Moreirense Prediction

Under2.5 goals
67% confidence

Why we picked this for Nacional vs Moreirense

For this Primeira Liga fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Nacional vs Moreirense, at 67% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Nacional's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Moreirense's games averaged 2.8, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 67%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 3-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Nacional last 5
2.8
avg goals, Moreirense last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Nacional
Sporting de Braga 0-1 Nacional
Sep 28, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Nacional 1-2 Arouca
Sep 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Porto 1-0 Nacional
Sep 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Casa Pia Atletico 0-2 Nacional
Aug 30, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Nacional 1-4 Sporting Lisbon
Aug 23, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Moreirense
Moreirense 2-1 Casa Pia Atletico
Sep 27, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Moreirense
Sep 22, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Moreirense 3-1 Rio Ave
Sep 13, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Gil Vicente 2-0 Moreirense
Aug 29, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Moreirense 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
Aug 23, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Nacional vs Moreirense, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 27, 2025MoreirenseNacional1-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 14, 2024NacionalMoreirense1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 18, 2023NacionalMoreirense0-2
Under 2.5✓
Oct 09, 2022MoreirenseNacional3-1
Over 2.5✕
May 06, 2021MoreirenseNacional2-2
Over 2.5✕