Home/Italy Tips/Napoli vs Genoa
Serie ASunday, 05 October 2025 · Full-time2-1✓
NAP

Napoli

VS
GEN

Genoa

Napoli vs Genoa Prediction

Over2.5 goals
83% confidence

Why we picked this for Napoli vs Genoa

Our pick for Napoli vs Genoa in Serie A is Over 2.5 goals, with 83% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Napoli's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Genoa (2.6 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 83%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Napoli last 5
2.6
avg goals, Genoa last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Napoli
Napoli 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Oct 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
AC Milan 2-1 Napoli
Sep 28, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Napoli 3-2 Pisa 1909
Sep 22, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Manchester City 2-0 Napoli
Sep 18, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Fiorentina 1-3 Napoli
Sep 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Genoa
Genoa 0-3 Lazio
Sep 29, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Genoa 3-1 Empoli
Sep 25, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Bologna 2-1 Genoa
Sep 20, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Como 1-1 Genoa
Sep 15, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Genoa 0-1 Juventus
Aug 31, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Napoli vs Genoa, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 11, 2025NapoliGenoa2-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 21, 2024GenoaNapoli1-2
Over 2.5✓
Feb 17, 2024NapoliGenoa1-1
Under 2.5✕
Sep 16, 2023GenoaNapoli2-2
Over 2.5✓
May 15, 2022NapoliGenoa3-0
Over 2.5✓