Primera DivisionSunday, 05 October 2025 · Full-time2-0✓
PRO
Progresso
VS
CA
CA Cerro
Progresso vs CA Cerro Prediction
Under2.5 goals
99% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Progresso vs CA Cerro
Our pick for Progresso vs CA Cerro in Primera Division is Under 2.5 goals, with 99% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Progresso's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for CA Cerro (2.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 2 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 99%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.
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2.0
avg goals, Progresso last 5
2.0
avg goals, CA Cerro last 5
33%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Progresso
Racing Club de Montevideo 0-0 Progresso
Under 2.5✓Sep 29, 2025
Progresso 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers
Under 2.5✓Sep 21, 2025
River Plate Montevideo 0-0 Progresso
Under 2.5✓Sep 14, 2025
Progresso 3-2 Miramar Missiones
Over 2.5✕Sep 07, 2025
Boston River 2-1 Progresso
Over 2.5✕Sep 01, 2025
CA Cerro
Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 CA Cerro
Under 2.5✓Sep 27, 2025
CA Cerro 1-0 Miramar Missiones
Under 2.5✓Sep 21, 2025
Danubio 5-1 CA Cerro
Over 2.5✕Sep 14, 2025
CA Cerro 0-1 Cerro Largo
Under 2.5✓Sep 07, 2025
Juventud 1-0 CA Cerro
Under 2.5✓Aug 31, 2025
Head to head
Last 3 meetings
Progresso vs CA Cerro, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 06, 2025 | CA Cerro | Progresso | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Progresso | CA Cerro | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 01, 2024 | CA Cerro | Progresso | 2-3 | Over 2.5✕ |