Home/International Tips/Lesotho vs Nigeria
World CupFriday, 10 October 2025 · Full-time1-2✓
LES

Lesotho

VS
NIG

Nigeria

Lesotho vs Nigeria Prediction

Over2.5 goals
59% confidence

Why we picked this for Lesotho vs Nigeria

For this World Cup fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Lesotho vs Nigeria, at 59% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Lesotho's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Nigeria's games averaged 2.0, with 1 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 1 of the last 2 ending over 2.5. At 59%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Lesotho last 5
2.0
avg goals, Nigeria last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lesotho
Benin 4-0 Lesotho
Sep 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Lesotho 0-3 South Africa
Sep 05, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Rwanda 1-1 Lesotho
Mar 25, 2025
Under 2.5✕
South Africa 0-3 Lesotho
Mar 21, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Lesotho 0-1 Rwanda
Jun 11, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Nigeria
South Africa 1-1 Nigeria
Sep 09, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Nigeria 1-0 Rwanda
Sep 06, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Nigeria 1-1 Zimbabwe
Mar 25, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Rwanda 0-2 Nigeria
Mar 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Benin 2-1 Nigeria
Jun 10, 2024
Over 2.5✓

Last 2 meetings

Lesotho vs Nigeria, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 16, 2023NigeriaLesotho1-1
Under 2.5✕
Mar 30, 2021NigeriaLesotho3-0
Over 2.5✓