Home/International Tips/Lithuania vs Poland
World CupSunday, 12 October 2025 · Full-time0-2✕
LIT

Lithuania

VS
POL

Poland

Lithuania vs Poland Prediction

Over2.5 goals
98% confidence

Why we picked this for Lithuania vs Poland

For this World Cup fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Lithuania vs Poland, at 98% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Lithuania's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Poland's games averaged 2.4, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 98%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Lithuania last 5
2.4
avg goals, Poland last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lithuania
Finland 2-1 Lithuania
Oct 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Lithuania 2-3 Netherlands
Sep 07, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Lithuania 1-1 Malta
Sep 04, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Malta 0-0 Lithuania
Jun 07, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Lithuania 2-2 Finland
Mar 24, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Poland
Poland 3-1 Finland
Sep 07, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Netherlands 1-1 Poland
Sep 04, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Finland 2-1 Poland
Jun 10, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Poland 2-0 Malta
Mar 24, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Poland 1-0 Lithuania
Mar 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last meeting

Lithuania vs Poland, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 21, 2025PolandLithuania1-0
Under 2.5✕