Brighton
Newcastle
Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction
Why we picked this for Brighton vs Newcastle
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Brighton against Newcastle (Premier League), rated at 58% confidence. Matches involving Brighton produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Newcastle it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. The 58% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Brighton vs Newcastle, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 04, 2025 | Brighton | Newcastle | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 02, 2025 | Newcastle | Brighton | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Newcastle | Brighton | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 11, 2024 | Newcastle | Brighton | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Brighton | Newcastle | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |