Home/Scotland Tips/Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian
Premier LeagueSaturday, 18 October 2025 · Full-time0-3✕
KIL

Kilmarnock

VS
HEA

Heart of Midlothian

Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian Prediction

Under2.5 goals
99% confidence

Why we picked this for Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Kilmarnock against Heart of Midlothian (Premier League), rated at 99% confidence. Matches involving Kilmarnock produced 2.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Heart of Midlothian it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 99%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-3. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Kilmarnock last 5
3.0
avg goals, Heart of Midlothian last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 2-0 St. Mirren
Oct 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Dundee United 0-2 Kilmarnock
Sep 27, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Kilmarnock 1-2 Celtic
Sep 14, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Motherwell 2-2 Kilmarnock
Aug 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Kilmarnock 0-0 Dundee
Aug 23, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian 1-0 Hibernian
Oct 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Heart of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk
Sep 27, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Rangers 0-2 Heart of Midlothian
Sep 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Livingston 1-2 Heart of Midlothian
Aug 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Heart of Midlothian 3-3 Motherwell
Aug 23, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 18, 2025KilmarnockHeart of Midlothian0-1
Under 2.5✓
Jan 25, 2025Heart of MidlothianKilmarnock3-2
Over 2.5✕
Dec 15, 2024KilmarnockHeart of Midlothian1-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 30, 2024Heart of MidlothianKilmarnock1-2
Over 2.5✕
Apr 27, 2024KilmarnockHeart of Midlothian0-0
Under 2.5✓