Serie ASunday, 19 October 2025 · Full-time2-1✓
AC
AC Milan
VS
FIO
Fiorentina
AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction
Over2.5 goals
59% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for AC Milan vs Fiorentina
Our pick for AC Milan vs Fiorentina in Serie A is Over 2.5 goals, with 59% confidence. Recent form: 3 of AC Milan's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Fiorentina (2.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. The 59% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-1, so Over 2.5 landed.
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2.0
avg goals, AC Milan last 5
2.4
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
AC Milan
Juventus 0-0 AC Milan
Under 2.5✕Oct 05, 2025
AC Milan 2-1 Napoli
Over 2.5✓Sep 28, 2025
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Over 2.5✓Sep 23, 2025
Udinese Calcio 0-3 AC Milan
Over 2.5✓Sep 20, 2025
AC Milan 1-0 Bologna
Under 2.5✕Sep 14, 2025
Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1-2 Roma
Over 2.5✓Oct 05, 2025
Fiorentina 2-0 Sigma Olomouc
Under 2.5✕Oct 02, 2025
Pisa 1909 0-0 Fiorentina
Under 2.5✕Sep 28, 2025
Fiorentina 1-2 Como
Over 2.5✓Sep 21, 2025
Fiorentina 1-3 Napoli
Over 2.5✓Sep 13, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
AC Milan vs Fiorentina, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 05, 2025 | AC Milan | Fiorentina | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Fiorentina | AC Milan | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fiorentina | AC Milan | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 25, 2023 | AC Milan | Fiorentina | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Fiorentina | AC Milan | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |