Serie ASunday, 19 October 2025 · Full-time4-0✕
BAH
Bahia
VS
GRE
Gremio
Bahia vs Gremio Prediction
Under2.5 goals
61% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Bahia vs Gremio
Our pick for Bahia vs Gremio in Serie A is Under 2.5 goals, with 61% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Bahia's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.4 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Gremio (2.2 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 5 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. The 61% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 4-0, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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2.4
avg goals, Bahia last 5
2.2
avg goals, Gremio last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Bahia
Vitoria BA 2-1 Bahia
Over 2.5✕Oct 17, 2025
Bahia 1-0 Flamengo
Under 2.5✓Oct 05, 2025
Botafogo RJ 2-1 Bahia
Over 2.5✕Oct 02, 2025
Bahia 1-0 Palmeiras
Under 2.5✓Sep 28, 2025
Vasco da Gama 3-1 Bahia
Over 2.5✕Sep 25, 2025
Gremio
Gremio 2-0 Sao Paulo SP
Under 2.5✓Oct 17, 2025
Bragantino 1-0 Gremio
Under 2.5✓Oct 04, 2025
Santos SP 1-1 Gremio
Under 2.5✓Oct 02, 2025
Gremio 3-1 Vitoria BA
Over 2.5✕Sep 28, 2025
Gremio 1-1 Botafogo RJ
Under 2.5✓Sep 25, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Bahia vs Gremio, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Gremio | Bahia | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Gremio | Bahia | 0-2 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Bahia | Gremio | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Nov 04, 2023 | Gremio | Bahia | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jul 13, 2023 | Gremio | Bahia | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |