Home/Australia Tips/Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory
A-LeagueFriday, 24 October 2025 · Full-time5-2✓
NEW

Newcastle Jets

VS
MEL

Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Over2.5 goals
87% confidence

Why we picked this for Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Newcastle Jets against Melbourne Victory (A-League), rated at 87% confidence. Matches involving Newcastle Jets produced 3.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Melbourne Victory it is 1.4 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. A confidence of 87% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 5-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Newcastle Jets last 5
1.4
avg goals, Melbourne Victory last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Newcastle Jets
Oct 19, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory 1-1 Newcastle Jets
May 04, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Newcastle Jets 0-1 Western Sydney
Apr 26, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Sydney 3-2 Newcastle Jets
Apr 20, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Newcastle Jets 6-0 Central Coast Mariners
Apr 12, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory 0-0 Auckland
Oct 18, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne City FC 1-0 Melbourne Victory
May 31, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Auckland 0-2 Melbourne Victory
May 24, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne Victory 0-1 Auckland
May 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Western Sydney 1-2 Melbourne Victory
May 10, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 04, 2025Melbourne VictoryNewcastle Jets1-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 08, 2025Newcastle JetsMelbourne Victory3-0
Over 2.5✓
Feb 03, 2024Newcastle JetsMelbourne Victory1-1
Under 2.5✕
Oct 29, 2023Melbourne VictoryNewcastle Jets5-3
Over 2.5✓
Feb 12, 2023Newcastle JetsMelbourne Victory2-1
Over 2.5✓