Home/Portugal Tips/Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon
Primeira LigaSunday, 26 October 2025 · Full-time0-3✓
TON

Tondela

VS
SPO

Sporting Lisbon

Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Over2.5 goals
98% confidence

Why we picked this for Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Tondela against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga), rated at 98% confidence. Matches involving Tondela produced 2.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Sporting Lisbon it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 98% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 0-3, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Tondela last 5
2.4
avg goals, Sporting Lisbon last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Tondela
Rio Ave 3-0 Tondela
Oct 05, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Santa Clara 1-2 Tondela
Sep 27, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Tondela 0-0 Estrela da Amadora
Sep 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Alverca 1-0 Tondela
Sep 12, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Tondela 2-2 Estoril
Aug 31, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Marseille
Oct 22, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Sporting de Braga
Oct 05, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Napoli 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Oct 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Estoril 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Sep 27, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Moreirense
Sep 22, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 09, 2022TondelaSporting Lisbon1-3
Over 2.5✓
Nov 28, 2021Sporting LisbonTondela2-0
Under 2.5✕
Mar 13, 2021TondelaSporting Lisbon0-1
Under 2.5✕
Nov 01, 2020Sporting LisbonTondela4-0
Over 2.5✓
Jun 18, 2020Sporting LisbonTondela2-0
Under 2.5✕