Home/Brazil Tips/Sao Paulo SP vs Bahia
Serie ASunday, 26 October 2025 · Full-time2-0✕
SAO

Sao Paulo SP

VS
BAH

Bahia

Sao Paulo SP vs Bahia Prediction

Over2.5 goals
52% confidence

Why we picked this for Sao Paulo SP vs Bahia

For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Sao Paulo SP vs Bahia, at 52% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Sao Paulo SP's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Bahia's games averaged 2.4, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. With 52% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 2-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Sao Paulo SP last 5
2.4
avg goals, Bahia last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sao Paulo SP
Mirassol 3-0 Sao Paulo SP
Oct 19, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Gremio 2-0 Sao Paulo SP
Oct 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Sao Paulo SP 2-3 Palmeiras
Oct 05, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Fortaleza 0-2 Sao Paulo SP
Oct 03, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Sao Paulo SP 0-1 Ceará
Sep 30, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Bahia
Bahia 1-0 Internacional RS
Oct 23, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Bahia 4-0 Gremio
Oct 20, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Vitoria BA 2-1 Bahia
Oct 17, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Bahia 1-0 Flamengo
Oct 05, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Botafogo RJ 2-1 Bahia
Oct 02, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Sao Paulo SP vs Bahia, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 31, 2025BahiaSao Paulo SP2-1
Over 2.5✓
Nov 06, 2024BahiaSao Paulo SP0-3
Over 2.5✓
Jun 30, 2024Sao Paulo SPBahia3-1
Over 2.5✓
Nov 30, 2023BahiaSao Paulo SP0-1
Under 2.5✕
Jul 30, 2023Sao Paulo SPBahia0-0
Under 2.5✕