Home/Spain Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla
Primera DivisionSaturday, 01 November 2025 · Full-time3-0✓
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
SEV

Sevilla

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction

Over2.5 goals
85% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla

For this Primera Division fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla, at 85% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid's games produced 3.0 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Sevilla's games averaged 3.6, with 4 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 85%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
3.6
avg goals, Sevilla last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Betis 0-2 Atletico Madrid
Oct 27, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal 4-0 Atletico Madrid
Oct 21, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna
Oct 18, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Celta Vigo 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Oct 05, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 5-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Sep 30, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Sevilla
Toledo 1-4 Sevilla
Oct 28, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla
Oct 24, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Sevilla 1-3 Mallorca
Oct 18, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Sevilla 4-1 Barcelona
Oct 05, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Sevilla
Sep 28, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 06, 2025SevillaAtletico Madrid1-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 08, 2024Atletico MadridSevilla4-3
Over 2.5✓
Feb 11, 2024SevillaAtletico Madrid1-0
Under 2.5✕
Jan 25, 2024Atletico MadridSevilla1-0
Under 2.5✕
Dec 23, 2023Atletico MadridSevilla1-0
Under 2.5✕