Home/England Tips/Brighton vs Leeds United
Premier LeagueSaturday, 01 November 2025 · Full-time3-0✕
BRI

Brighton

VS
LEE

Leeds United

Brighton vs Leeds United Prediction

Under2.5 goals
91% confidence

Why we picked this for Brighton vs Leeds United

For this Premier League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Brighton vs Leeds United, at 91% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Brighton's games produced 3.8 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Leeds United's games averaged 3.2, with 4 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 91%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Brighton last 5
3.2
avg goals, Leeds United last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Brighton
Manchester United 4-2 Brighton
Oct 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Brighton 2-1 Newcastle
Oct 18, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Brighton
Oct 05, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 1-3 Brighton
Sep 27, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Brighton 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Sep 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Leeds United
Leeds United 2-1 West Ham United
Oct 24, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 2-0 Leeds United
Oct 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Leeds United 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Oct 04, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Leeds United 2-2 Bournemouth
Sep 27, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-3 Leeds United
Sep 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Brighton vs Leeds United, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 11, 2023Leeds UnitedBrighton2-2
Over 2.5✕
Aug 27, 2022BrightonLeeds United1-0
Under 2.5✓
May 15, 2022Leeds UnitedBrighton1-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 27, 2021BrightonLeeds United0-0
Under 2.5✓
May 01, 2021BrightonLeeds United2-0
Under 2.5✓