Home/UEFA Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Union Saint-Gilloise
Champions LeagueTuesday, 04 November 2025 · Full-time3-1✕
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
UNI

Union Saint-Gilloise

Atletico Madrid vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction

Under2.5 goals
80% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Union Saint-Gilloise

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico Madrid against Union Saint-Gilloise (Champions League), rated at 80% confidence. Matches involving Atletico Madrid produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Union Saint-Gilloise it is 3.6 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The two sides haven't met recently, so head-to-head history plays no part in this call. At 80%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
3.6
avg goals, Union Saint-Gilloise last 5
—
no previous meetings
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid 3-0 Sevilla
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Betis 0-2 Atletico Madrid
Oct 27, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Arsenal 4-0 Atletico Madrid
Oct 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna
Oct 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Celta Vigo 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Oct 05, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Union Saint-Gilloise
Zulte-Waregem 1-4 Union Saint-Gilloise
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Tubize-Braine 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise
Oct 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 St.Truiden
Oct 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Union Saint-Gilloise 0-4 Inter Milan
Oct 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 Charleroi
Oct 18, 2025
Over 2.5✕