Home/England Tips/Middlesbrough vs Birmingham
ChampionshipSaturday, 08 November 2025 · Full-time2-1✕
MID

Middlesbrough

VS
BIR

Birmingham

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction

Under2.5 goals
64% confidence

Why we picked this for Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Our pick for Middlesbrough vs Birmingham in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 64% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Middlesbrough's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Birmingham (3.0 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 64%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Middlesbrough last 5
3.0
avg goals, Birmingham last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Middlesbrough
Leicester City 1-1 Middlesbrough
Nov 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Middlesbrough 1-1 Wrexham
Oct 25, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 Middlesbrough
Oct 22, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Middlesbrough 2-1 Ipswich Town
Oct 17, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham
Birmingham 4-0 Millwall
Nov 04, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham 4-0 Portsmouth
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Bristol City 1-0 Birmingham
Oct 25, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Preston North End 0-1 Birmingham
Oct 21, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Birmingham 2-3 Hull City
Oct 18, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 12, 2024BirminghamMiddlesbrough0-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 21, 2023MiddlesbroughBirmingham1-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 02, 2023BirminghamMiddlesbrough1-3
Over 2.5✕
Oct 05, 2022MiddlesbroughBirmingham1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 15, 2022BirminghamMiddlesbrough0-2
Under 2.5✓