Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
Our pick for Aston Villa vs Bournemouth in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 50% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Aston Villa's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Bournemouth (4.0 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 50% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 4-0. The pick lost.
Recommended bookmakers
Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Bournemouth | Aston Villa | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Aston Villa | Bournemouth | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Aston Villa | Bournemouth | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Bournemouth | Aston Villa | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Aston Villa | Bournemouth | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |