Home/France Tips/Nice vs Marseille
Ligue 1Friday, 21 November 2025 · Full-time1-5✕
NIC

Nice

VS
MAR

Marseille

Nice vs Marseille Prediction

Under2.5 goals
51% confidence

Why we picked this for Nice vs Marseille

For this Ligue 1 fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Nice vs Marseille, at 51% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Nice's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Marseille's games averaged 2.4, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. With 51% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 1-5. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Nice last 5
2.4
avg goals, Marseille last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Nice
Metz 2-1 Nice
Nov 09, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Nice 1-3 Freiburg
Nov 06, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Paris SG 1-0 Nice
Nov 01, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Nice 2-0 Lille OSC
Oct 29, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Stade Rennais 1-2 Nice
Oct 26, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Marseille
Marseille 3-0 Stade Brestois 29
Nov 08, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Marseille 0-1 Atalanta
Nov 05, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Auxerre 0-1 Marseille
Nov 01, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Marseille 2-2 Angers SCO
Oct 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Lens 2-1 Marseille
Oct 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Nice vs Marseille, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 26, 2025NiceMarseille2-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 14, 2024MarseilleNice2-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 24, 2024MarseilleNice2-2
Over 2.5✕
Oct 21, 2023NiceMarseille1-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 05, 2023MarseilleNice1-3
Over 2.5✕