Premier LeagueSaturday, 22 November 2025 · Full-time0-2✕
BUR
Burnley
VS
CHE
Chelsea
Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction
Over2.5 goals
55% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Burnley vs Chelsea
Our pick for Burnley vs Chelsea in Premier League is Over 2.5 goals, with 55% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Burnley's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Chelsea (3.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. The 55% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-2, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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3.4
avg goals, Burnley last 5
3.4
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Burnley
West Ham United 3-2 Burnley
Over 2.5✓Nov 08, 2025
Burnley 0-2 Arsenal
Under 2.5✕Nov 01, 2025
Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-3 Burnley
Over 2.5✓Oct 26, 2025
Burnley 2-0 Leeds United
Under 2.5✕Oct 18, 2025
Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley
Over 2.5✓Oct 05, 2025
Chelsea
Chelsea 3-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Over 2.5✓Nov 08, 2025
FK Qarabag 2-2 Chelsea
Over 2.5✓Nov 05, 2025
Tottenham Hotspur 0-1 Chelsea
Under 2.5✕Nov 01, 2025
Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland
Over 2.5✓Oct 25, 2025
Chelsea 5-1 Ajax
Over 2.5✓Oct 22, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Burnley vs Chelsea, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | Chelsea | Burnley | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 07, 2023 | Burnley | Chelsea | 1-4 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Mar 05, 2022 | Burnley | Chelsea | 0-4 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 06, 2021 | Chelsea | Burnley | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Chelsea | Burnley | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |