Home/Australia Tips/Sydney vs Melbourne Victory
A-LeagueSaturday, 22 November 2025 · Full-time3-0✓
SYD

Sydney

VS
MEL

Melbourne Victory

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Over2.5 goals
87% confidence

Why we picked this for Sydney vs Melbourne Victory

Our pick for Sydney vs Melbourne Victory in A-League is Over 2.5 goals, with 87% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Sydney's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.6 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Melbourne Victory (2.4 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 87%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.6
avg goals, Sydney last 5
2.4
avg goals, Melbourne Victory last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sydney
Sydney 2-0 Macarthur Sydney
Nov 09, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Newcastle Jets 1-4 Sydney
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Sydney 2-0 Central Coast Mariners
Oct 25, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Adelaide United 2-1 Sydney
Oct 17, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne City FC 5-1 Sydney
May 03, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory 0-2 Melbourne City FC
Nov 08, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Perth Glory 0-2 Melbourne Victory
Oct 31, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Newcastle Jets 5-2 Melbourne Victory
Oct 24, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory 0-0 Auckland
Oct 18, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Melbourne City FC 1-0 Melbourne Victory
May 31, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 24, 2025Melbourne VictorySydney2-0
Under 2.5✕
Dec 28, 2024SydneyMelbourne Victory3-0
Over 2.5✓
Jan 26, 2024Melbourne VictorySydney1-1
Under 2.5✕
Dec 16, 2023Melbourne VictorySydney3-0
Over 2.5✓
Oct 21, 2023SydneyMelbourne Victory0-2
Under 2.5✕