Home/Portugal Tips/Maritimo vs Penafiel
Segunda LigaSunday, 23 November 2025 · Full-time2-1✕
MAR

Maritimo

VS
PEN

Penafiel

Maritimo vs Penafiel Prediction

Under2.5 goals
50% confidence

Why we picked this for Maritimo vs Penafiel

For this Segunda Liga fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Maritimo vs Penafiel, at 50% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Maritimo's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Penafiel's games averaged 2.2, with 2 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 4 recent meetings went under 2.5. With 50% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Maritimo last 5
2.2
avg goals, Penafiel last 5
25%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Maritimo
Maritimo 2-0 Pacos Ferreira
Nov 09, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Oliveirense 0-2 Maritimo
Nov 03, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Maritimo 1-3 Uniao Leiria
Oct 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Porto II 1-0 Maritimo
Oct 19, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Maritimo 2-2 Academica Viseu
Oct 03, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel
Penafiel 1-1 Sporting Lisbon B
Nov 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Vizela 1-3 Penafiel
Nov 02, 2025
Over 2.5✕
SC Farense 0-0 Penafiel
Oct 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Penafiel 1-2 Feirense
Oct 19, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Benfica Lisbon B 0-2 Penafiel
Oct 05, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 4 meetings

Maritimo vs Penafiel, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 29, 2025PenafielMaritimo0-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 02, 2024MaritimoPenafiel1-2
Over 2.5✕
May 05, 2024PenafielMaritimo0-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 23, 2023MaritimoPenafiel0-0
Under 2.5✓