Home/Brazil Tips/Gremio vs Palmeiras
Serie AWednesday, 26 November 2025 · Full-time3-2✓
GRE

Gremio

VS
PAL

Palmeiras

Gremio vs Palmeiras Prediction

Over2.5 goals
84% confidence

Why we picked this for Gremio vs Palmeiras

For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Gremio vs Palmeiras, at 84% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Gremio's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Palmeiras's games averaged 1.2, with 1 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 84% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 3-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Gremio last 5
1.2
avg goals, Palmeiras last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Gremio
Botafogo RJ 3-2 Gremio
Nov 22, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Gremio 2-0 Vasco da Gama
Nov 20, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Fortaleza 2-2 Gremio
Nov 10, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Gremio 0-1 Cruzeiro MG
Nov 06, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Corinthians 2-0 Gremio
Nov 02, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Palmeiras
Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense RJ
Nov 23, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Palmeiras 0-0 Vitoria BA
Nov 19, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Santos SP 1-0 Palmeiras
Nov 16, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Mirassol 2-1 Palmeiras
Nov 10, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Palmeiras 2-0 Santos SP
Nov 07, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Gremio vs Palmeiras, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jul 27, 2025PalmeirasGremio1-0
Under 2.5✕
Nov 09, 2024PalmeirasGremio1-0
Under 2.5✕
Jul 05, 2024GremioPalmeiras2-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 22, 2023GremioPalmeiras1-0
Under 2.5✕
May 11, 2023PalmeirasGremio4-1
Over 2.5✓