Home/Portugal Tips/Nacional vs Benfica
Primeira LigaSaturday, 29 November 2025 · Full-time1-2✓
NAC

Nacional

VS
BEN

Benfica

Nacional vs Benfica Prediction

Over2.5 goals
58% confidence

Why we picked this for Nacional vs Benfica

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Nacional against Benfica (Primeira Liga), rated at 58% confidence. Matches involving Nacional produced 2.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Benfica it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. The 58% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Nacional last 5
3.0
avg goals, Benfica last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Nacional
Estrela da Amadora 1-1 Nacional
Nov 09, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Nacional 0-1 Famalicao
Nov 01, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Estoril 1-1 Nacional
Oct 26, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Nacional 3-2 Moreirense
Oct 04, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Sporting de Braga 0-1 Nacional
Sep 28, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Benfica
Ajax 0-2 Benfica
Nov 25, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Benfica 2-2 Casa Pia Atletico
Nov 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Benfica 0-1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Nov 05, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Benfica 5-0 Arouca
Oct 25, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Nacional vs Benfica, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 08, 2025BenficaNacional3-0
Over 2.5✓
Dec 19, 2024NacionalBenfica0-2
Under 2.5✕
May 11, 2021NacionalBenfica1-3
Over 2.5✓
Jan 25, 2021BenficaNacional1-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 10, 2019BenficaNacional10-0
Over 2.5✓