Atalanta
Fiorentina
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction
Why we picked this for Atalanta vs Fiorentina
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atalanta against Fiorentina (Serie A), rated at 74% confidence. Matches involving Atalanta produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Fiorentina it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Atalanta vs Fiorentina, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Fiorentina | Atalanta | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Atalanta | Fiorentina | 3-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jun 02, 2024 | Atalanta | Fiorentina | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Atalanta | Fiorentina | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Fiorentina | Atalanta | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |