Monterrey
Deportivo Toluca
Monterrey vs Deportivo Toluca Prediction
Why we picked this for Monterrey vs Deportivo Toluca
Our pick for Monterrey vs Deportivo Toluca in Liga MX is Over 2.5 goals, with 52% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Monterrey's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Deportivo Toluca (1.8 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 52%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 1-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Monterrey vs Deportivo Toluca, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2025 | Deportivo Toluca | Monterrey | 6-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 11, 2025 | Deportivo Toluca | Monterrey | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 08, 2025 | Monterrey | Deportivo Toluca | 3-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Deportivo Toluca | Monterrey | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Monterrey | Deportivo Toluca | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |