Home/Portugal Tips/Penafiel vs Uniao Leiria
Segunda LigaFriday, 05 December 2025 · Full-time1-0✓
PEN

Penafiel

VS
UNI

Uniao Leiria

Penafiel vs Uniao Leiria Prediction

Under2.5 goals
86% confidence

Why we picked this for Penafiel vs Uniao Leiria

Our pick for Penafiel vs Uniao Leiria in Segunda Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 86% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Penafiel's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Uniao Leiria (3.4 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 4 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 86%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Penafiel last 5
3.4
avg goals, Uniao Leiria last 5
0%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Penafiel
Academica Viseu 2-0 Penafiel
Nov 29, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Maritimo 2-1 Penafiel
Nov 23, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel 1-1 Sporting Lisbon B
Nov 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Vizela 1-3 Penafiel
Nov 02, 2025
Over 2.5✕
SC Farense 0-0 Penafiel
Oct 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Uniao Leiria
Uniao Leiria 2-2 Benfica Lisbon B
Nov 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Lusitania 1-1 Uniao Leiria
Nov 09, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Uniao Leiria 2-1 Chaves
Nov 03, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Maritimo 1-3 Uniao Leiria
Oct 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Uniao Leiria 1-3 Leixões
Oct 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 4 meetings

Penafiel vs Uniao Leiria, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 02, 2025Uniao LeiriaPenafiel1-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 06, 2024PenafielUniao Leiria1-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 25, 2024Uniao LeiriaPenafiel0-2
Under 2.5✓
Dec 16, 2023PenafielUniao Leiria1-0
Under 2.5✓