Home/England Tips/Derby County vs Leicester City
ChampionshipSaturday, 06 December 2025 · Full-time1-3✕
DER

Derby County

VS
LEI

Leicester City

Derby County vs Leicester City Prediction

Under2.5 goals
96% confidence
Why this pick

Why we picked this for Derby County vs Leicester City

Our pick for Derby County vs Leicester City in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 96% confidence. Recent form: 5 of Derby County's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Leicester City (3.2 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 1 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

There are no recent meetings between these teams in our data, so head-to-head history plays no part here. A confidence of 96% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Derby County last 5
3.2
avg goals, Leicester City last 5
—
no previous meetings
9 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Derby County
Middlesbrough 2-1 Derby County
Nov 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Swansea 1-2 Derby County
Nov 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 2-3 Watford
Nov 22, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Derby County
Nov 08, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 2-1 Hull City
Nov 04, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Leicester City
Leicester City 2-3 Sheffield United
Nov 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Southampton 3-0 Leicester City
Nov 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Leicester City 2-1 Stoke City
Nov 22, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Norwich 1-2 Leicester City
Nov 08, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Leicester City 1-1 Middlesbrough
Nov 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓