Home/Portugal Tips/Estrela da Amadora vs Arouca
Primeira LigaSunday, 07 December 2025 · Full-time3-1✕
EST

Estrela da Amadora

VS
ARO

Arouca

Estrela da Amadora vs Arouca Prediction

Under2.5 goals
90% confidence

Why we picked this for Estrela da Amadora vs Arouca

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Estrela da Amadora against Arouca (Primeira Liga), rated at 90% confidence. Matches involving Estrela da Amadora produced 3.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Arouca it is 4.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 2 of the last 4 ending under 2.5. At 90%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
3.8
avg goals, Estrela da Amadora last 5
4.0
avg goals, Arouca last 5
50%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Estrela da Amadora
Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Estrela da Amadora
Nov 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Estrela da Amadora 1-1 Nacional
Nov 09, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Casa Pia Atletico 3-5 Estrela da Amadora
Nov 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Estrela da Amadora 1-2 Rio Ave
Oct 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Gil Vicente 2-0 Estrela da Amadora
Oct 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Arouca
Arouca 0-4 Sporting de Braga
Dec 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Estoril 4-3 Arouca
Nov 07, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Arouca 0-2 Moreirense
Nov 02, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Benfica 5-0 Arouca
Oct 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Arouca 1-1 Famalicao
Oct 05, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 4 meetings

Estrela da Amadora vs Arouca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 19, 2025AroucaEstrela da Amadora1-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 09, 2024Estrela da AmadoraArouca2-1
Over 2.5✕
May 05, 2024AroucaEstrela da Amadora0-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 28, 2023Estrela da AmadoraArouca1-4
Over 2.5✕