Home/Mexico Tips/Tigres vs Deportivo Toluca
Liga MXFriday, 12 December 2025 · Full-time1-0✕
TIG

Tigres

VS
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

Tigres vs Deportivo Toluca Prediction

Over2.5 goals
99% confidence

Why we picked this for Tigres vs Deportivo Toluca

Our pick for Tigres vs Deportivo Toluca in Liga MX is Over 2.5 goals, with 99% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Tigres's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.2 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Deportivo Toluca (2.2 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 99%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Tigres last 5
2.2
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Tigres
Tigres 1-1 Cruz Azul
Dec 07, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Cruz Azul 1-1 Tigres
Dec 04, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Tigres 5-0 Club Tijuana
Nov 30, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Club Tijuana 3-0 Tigres
Nov 27, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Tigres 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Nov 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca
Deportivo Toluca 3-2 Monterrey
Dec 07, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Monterrey 1-0 Deportivo Toluca
Dec 04, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 0-0 Juarez FC
Nov 30, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Juarez FC 1-2 Deportivo Toluca
Nov 27, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca 2-0 Club America
Nov 09, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Tigres vs Deportivo Toluca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jul 27, 2025Deportivo TolucaTigres3-4
Over 2.5✓
May 18, 2025Deportivo TolucaTigres3-0
Over 2.5✓
May 15, 2025TigresDeportivo Toluca1-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 02, 2025Deportivo TolucaTigres1-0
Under 2.5✕
Nov 07, 2024TigresDeportivo Toluca2-1
Over 2.5✓