Home/England Tips/Newcastle vs Chelsea
Premier LeagueSaturday, 20 December 2025 · Full-time2-2✕
NEW

Newcastle

VS
CHE

Chelsea

Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction

Under2.5 goals
78% confidence

Why we picked this for Newcastle vs Chelsea

For this Premier League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Newcastle vs Chelsea, at 78% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Newcastle's games produced 3.4 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Chelsea's games averaged 2.2, with 2 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 78% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 2-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Newcastle last 5
2.2
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Newcastle
Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle
Dec 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-2 Newcastle
Dec 10, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 2-1 Burnley
Dec 06, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Dec 02, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Everton 1-4 Newcastle
Nov 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea
Chelsea 2-0 Everton
Dec 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Atalanta 2-1 Chelsea
Dec 09, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea
Dec 06, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Leeds United 3-1 Chelsea
Dec 03, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
Nov 30, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle vs Chelsea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 11, 2025NewcastleChelsea2-0
Under 2.5✓
Oct 27, 2024ChelseaNewcastle2-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 11, 2024ChelseaNewcastle3-2
Over 2.5✕
Nov 25, 2023NewcastleChelsea4-1
Over 2.5✕
May 28, 2023ChelseaNewcastle1-1
Under 2.5✓