Home/England Tips/Birmingham vs Derby County
ChampionshipFriday, 26 December 2025 · Full-time1-1✕
BIR

Birmingham

VS
DER

Derby County

Birmingham vs Derby County Prediction

Over2.5 goals
73% confidence

Why we picked this for Birmingham vs Derby County

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Birmingham against Derby County (Championship), rated at 73% confidence. Matches involving Birmingham produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 73%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
3.0
avg goals, Birmingham last 5
2.8
avg goals, Derby County last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Birmingham
Sheffield United 3-0 Birmingham
Dec 20, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Birmingham 1-1 Charlton Athletic
Dec 13, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham
Dec 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Southampton 3-1 Birmingham
Dec 06, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Birmingham 2-1 Watford
Dec 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Derby County
Derby County 1-1 Portsmouth
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Sheffield Wednesday 0-3 Derby County
Dec 15, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Derby County 1-1 Millwall
Dec 10, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Derby County 1-3 Leicester City
Dec 06, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Middlesbrough 2-1 Derby County
Nov 29, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Birmingham vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 30, 2022Derby CountyBirmingham2-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 10, 2021BirminghamDerby County2-0
Under 2.5✕
Apr 24, 2021Derby CountyBirmingham1-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 29, 2020BirminghamDerby County0-4
Over 2.5✓
Jul 22, 2020BirminghamDerby County1-3
Over 2.5✓