Home/England Tips/Chelsea vs Aston Villa
Premier LeagueSaturday, 27 December 2025 · Full-time1-2✓
CHE

Chelsea

VS
AST

Aston Villa

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction

Over2.5 goals
83% confidence

Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Aston Villa

For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Chelsea vs Aston Villa, at 83% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Chelsea's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Aston Villa's games averaged 4.2, with 5 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. A confidence of 83% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 1-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
4.2
avg goals, Aston Villa last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chelsea
Newcastle 2-2 Chelsea
Dec 20, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Chelsea 2-0 Everton
Dec 13, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Atalanta 2-1 Chelsea
Dec 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea
Dec 06, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Leeds United 3-1 Chelsea
Dec 03, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester United
Dec 21, 2025
Over 2.5✓
West Ham United 2-3 Aston Villa
Dec 14, 2025
Over 2.5✓
FC Basel 1-2 Aston Villa
Dec 11, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Aston Villa 2-1 Arsenal
Dec 06, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Brighton 3-4 Aston Villa
Dec 03, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Chelsea vs Aston Villa, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 22, 2025Aston VillaChelsea2-1
Over 2.5✓
Dec 01, 2024ChelseaAston Villa3-0
Over 2.5✓
Apr 27, 2024Aston VillaChelsea2-2
Over 2.5✓
Feb 07, 2024Aston VillaChelsea1-3
Over 2.5✓
Jan 26, 2024ChelseaAston Villa0-0
Under 2.5✕