Derby County
Middlesbrough
Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Middlesbrough
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Derby County against Middlesbrough (Championship), rated at 75% confidence. Matches involving Derby County produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Middlesbrough it is 2.0 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. A confidence of 75% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Derby County vs Middlesbrough, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Middlesbrough | Derby County | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Middlesbrough | Derby County | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Derby County | Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Middlesbrough | Derby County | 4-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Derby County | Middlesbrough | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |