Home/England Tips/Watford vs Birmingham
ChampionshipThursday, 01 January 2026 · Full-time3-0✕
WAT

Watford

VS
BIR

Birmingham

Watford vs Birmingham Prediction

Under2.5 goals
51% confidence

Why we picked this for Watford vs Birmingham

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Watford against Birmingham (Championship), rated at 51% confidence. Matches involving Watford produced 2.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Birmingham it is 2.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 51%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 3-0, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Watford last 5
2.4
avg goals, Birmingham last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Watford
Norwich 0-1 Watford
Dec 29, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Leicester City 1-2 Watford
Dec 26, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Watford 1-0 Stoke City
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Wrexham 2-2 Watford
Dec 13, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Watford 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday
Dec 09, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Birmingham
Birmingham 1-1 Southampton
Dec 29, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Birmingham 1-1 Derby County
Dec 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Sheffield United 3-0 Birmingham
Dec 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham 1-1 Charlton Athletic
Dec 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham
Dec 09, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Watford vs Birmingham, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 01, 2025BirminghamWatford2-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 16, 2024BirminghamWatford0-1
Under 2.5✓
Sep 16, 2023WatfordBirmingham2-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 14, 2023WatfordBirmingham3-0
Over 2.5✕
Aug 16, 2022BirminghamWatford1-1
Under 2.5✓