Home/Portugal Tips/Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional
Primeira LigaFriday, 02 January 2026 · Full-time2-1✓
VIT

Vitoria Guimaraes

VS
NAC

Nacional

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional Prediction

Over2.5 goals
64% confidence

Why we picked this for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional

Our pick for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional in Primeira Liga is Over 2.5 goals, with 64% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Nacional (2.8 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 64%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Vitoria Guimaraes last 5
2.8
avg goals, Nacional last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Vitoria Guimaraes
Casa Pia Atletico 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
Dec 28, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-4 Sporting Lisbon
Dec 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Rio Ave 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Dec 13, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-0 Gil Vicente
Dec 08, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes 4-0 AVS
Nov 28, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Nacional
AVS 2-2 Nacional
Dec 21, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Nacional 3-1 Tondela
Dec 15, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Alverca 1-0 Nacional
Dec 07, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Nacional 1-2 Benfica
Nov 29, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Estrela da Amadora 1-1 Nacional
Nov 09, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 03, 2025NacionalVitoria Guimaraes1-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 23, 2024Vitoria GuimaraesNacional2-2
Over 2.5✓
Apr 26, 2021NacionalVitoria Guimaraes1-0
Under 2.5✕
Jan 21, 2021Vitoria GuimaraesNacional3-1
Over 2.5✓
May 05, 2019Vitoria GuimaraesNacional2-2
Over 2.5✓