Ligue 1Sunday, 04 January 2026 · Full-time1-1✓
LOR
Lorient
VS
MET
Metz
Lorient vs Metz Prediction
Under2.5 goals
84% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Lorient vs Metz
Our pick for Lorient vs Metz in Ligue 1 is Under 2.5 goals, with 84% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Lorient's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.8 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Metz (3.6 per game). Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. A confidence of 84% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-1, so Under 2.5 landed.
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1.8
avg goals, Lorient last 5
3.6
avg goals, Metz last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Lorient
Strasbourg 0-0 Lorient
Under 2.5✓Dec 14, 2025
Lorient 1-0 Lyon
Under 2.5✓Dec 07, 2025
Lorient 3-1 Nice
Over 2.5✕Nov 30, 2025
Nantes 1-1 Lorient
Under 2.5✓Nov 23, 2025
Lorient 1-1 Toulouse
Under 2.5✓Nov 09, 2025
Metz
Metz 2-3 Paris SG
Over 2.5✕Dec 13, 2025
Auxerre 3-1 Metz
Over 2.5✕Dec 07, 2025
Metz 0-1 Stade Rennais
Under 2.5✓Nov 28, 2025
Stade Brestois 29 3-2 Metz
Over 2.5✕Nov 23, 2025
Metz 2-1 Nice
Over 2.5✕Nov 09, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Lorient vs Metz, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Lorient | Metz | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Metz | Lorient | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Metz | Lorient | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Lorient | Metz | 2-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Lorient | Metz | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |