Home/Italy Tips/Lazio vs Napoli
Serie ASunday, 04 January 2026 · Full-time0-2✓
LAZ

Lazio

VS
NAP

Napoli

Lazio vs Napoli Prediction

Under2.5 goals
86% confidence

Why we picked this for Lazio vs Napoli

Our pick for Lazio vs Napoli in Serie A is Under 2.5 goals, with 86% confidence. Recent form: 0 of Lazio's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.2 goals per game in total), against 0 of 5 for Napoli (1.8 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 86% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-2, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.2
avg goals, Lazio last 5
1.8
avg goals, Napoli last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
0 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lazio
Udinese Calcio 1-1 Lazio
Dec 27, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Lazio 0-0 Cremonese
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Parma 0-1 Lazio
Dec 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Lazio 1-1 Bologna
Dec 07, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Lazio 1-0 AC Milan
Dec 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Napoli
Cremonese 0-2 Napoli
Dec 28, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Napoli 2-0 Bologna
Dec 22, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Napoli 2-0 AC Milan
Dec 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Udinese Calcio 1-0 Napoli
Dec 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Benfica 2-0 Napoli
Dec 10, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Lazio vs Napoli, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 15, 2025LazioNapoli2-2
Over 2.5✕
Dec 08, 2024NapoliLazio0-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 05, 2024LazioNapoli3-1
Over 2.5✕
Jan 28, 2024LazioNapoli0-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 02, 2023NapoliLazio1-2
Over 2.5✕