Home/England Tips/Norwich vs Stoke City
ChampionshipSunday, 04 January 2026 · Full-time0-2✕
NOR

Norwich

VS
STO

Stoke City

Norwich vs Stoke City Prediction

Over2.5 goals
79% confidence

Why we picked this for Norwich vs Stoke City

For this Championship fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Norwich vs Stoke City, at 79% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Norwich's games produced 2.0 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Stoke City's games averaged 1.6, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 79%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Norwich last 5
1.6
avg goals, Stoke City last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Norwich
Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Norwich
Jan 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Norwich 0-1 Watford
Dec 29, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Norwich 1-0 Charlton Athletic
Dec 26, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Preston North End 1-1 Norwich
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Norwich 2-1 Southampton
Dec 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Stoke City
Hull City 0-1 Stoke City
Jan 01, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Stoke City 1-2 Sheffield United
Dec 29, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Stoke City 0-0 Preston North End
Dec 26, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Watford 1-0 Stoke City
Dec 20, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Stoke City 2-1 Swansea
Dec 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Norwich vs Stoke City, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 27, 2025Stoke CityNorwich1-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 22, 2025NorwichStoke City4-2
Over 2.5✓
Oct 19, 2024Stoke CityNorwich1-1
Under 2.5✕
Mar 16, 2024Stoke CityNorwich0-3
Over 2.5✓
Sep 16, 2023NorwichStoke City1-0
Under 2.5✕