FA CupSaturday, 10 January 2026 · Full-time5-1✕
BUR
Burnley
VS
MIL
Millwall
Burnley vs Millwall Prediction
Under2.5 goals
90% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Burnley vs Millwall
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Burnley against Millwall (FA Cup), rated at 90% confidence. Matches involving Burnley produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Millwall it is 1.6 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 4 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. A confidence of 90% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 5-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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2.4
avg goals, Burnley last 5
1.6
avg goals, Millwall last 5
25%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Burnley
Burnley 2-2 Manchester United
Over 2.5✕Jan 07, 2026
Brighton 2-0 Burnley
Under 2.5✓Jan 03, 2026
Burnley 1-3 Newcastle
Over 2.5✕Dec 30, 2025
Burnley 0-0 Everton
Under 2.5✓Dec 27, 2025
Bournemouth 1-1 Burnley
Under 2.5✓Dec 20, 2025
Millwall
Millwall 2-1 Swansea
Over 2.5✕Jan 04, 2026
Southampton 0-0 Millwall
Under 2.5✓Jan 01, 2026
Millwall 2-1 Bristol City
Over 2.5✕Dec 29, 2025
Millwall 0-0 Ipswich Town
Under 2.5✓Dec 26, 2025
Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Millwall
Under 2.5✓Dec 20, 2025
Head to head
Last 4 meetings
Burnley vs Millwall, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 03, 2025 | Burnley | Millwall | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 03, 2024 | Millwall | Burnley | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Millwall | Burnley | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Burnley | Millwall | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |