Fiorentina
AC Milan
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction
Why we picked this for Fiorentina vs AC Milan
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Fiorentina against AC Milan (Serie A), rated at 67% confidence. Matches involving Fiorentina produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For AC Milan it is 2.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 67% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-1, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Fiorentina vs AC Milan, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | AC Milan | Fiorentina | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 05, 2025 | AC Milan | Fiorentina | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Fiorentina | AC Milan | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fiorentina | AC Milan | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 25, 2023 | AC Milan | Fiorentina | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |