Home/Italy Tips/Napoli vs Parma
Serie AWednesday, 14 January 2026 · Full-time0-0✓
NAP

Napoli

VS
PAR

Parma

Napoli vs Parma Prediction

Under2.5 goals
69% confidence

Why we picked this for Napoli vs Parma

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Napoli against Parma (Serie A), rated at 69% confidence. Matches involving Napoli produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Parma it is 1.8 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. The 69% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Napoli last 5
1.8
avg goals, Parma last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Napoli
Inter Milan 2-2 Napoli
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Napoli 2-2 Hellas Verona
Jan 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Lazio 0-2 Napoli
Jan 04, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Cremonese 0-2 Napoli
Dec 28, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Napoli 2-0 Bologna
Dec 22, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Parma
Lecce 1-2 Parma
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Parma 0-2 Inter Milan
Jan 07, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sassuolo 1-1 Parma
Jan 03, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Parma 1-0 Fiorentina
Dec 27, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Parma 0-1 Lazio
Dec 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Napoli vs Parma, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 18, 2025ParmaNapoli0-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 31, 2024NapoliParma2-1
Over 2.5✕
Jan 31, 2021NapoliParma2-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 20, 2020ParmaNapoli0-2
Under 2.5✓
Jul 22, 2020ParmaNapoli2-1
Over 2.5✕