Home/Spain Tips/Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
Copa del ReyWednesday, 14 January 2026 · Full-time2-0✓
DEP

Deportivo Alaves

VS
RAY

Rayo Vallecano

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Under2.5 goals
57% confidence

Why we picked this for Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

Our pick for Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano in Copa del Rey is Under 2.5 goals, with 57% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Deportivo Alaves's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Rayo Vallecano (3.2 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 5 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 57%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Deportivo Alaves last 5
3.2
avg goals, Rayo Vallecano last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Deportivo Alaves
Villarreal 3-1 Deportivo Alaves
Jan 10, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Real Oviedo
Jan 04, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Osasuna 3-0 Deportivo Alaves
Dec 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Sevilla
Dec 17, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid
Dec 14, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca
Jan 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Granada 1-3 Rayo Vallecano
Jan 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Getafe
Jan 02, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
Dec 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Drita Bogovinje
Dec 18, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 26, 2025Rayo VallecanoDeportivo Alaves1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 29, 2025Deportivo AlavesRayo Vallecano0-2
Under 2.5✓
Oct 26, 2024Rayo VallecanoDeportivo Alaves1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 10, 2024Deportivo AlavesRayo Vallecano1-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 15, 2023Rayo VallecanoDeportivo Alaves2-0
Under 2.5✓