Home/France Tips/AS Monaco vs Lorient
Ligue 1Friday, 16 January 2026 · Full-time1-3✓
AS

AS Monaco

VS
LOR

Lorient

AS Monaco vs Lorient Prediction

Over2.5 goals
99% confidence

Why we picked this for AS Monaco vs Lorient

For this Ligue 1 fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for AS Monaco vs Lorient, at 99% confidence. In their last 5 matches, AS Monaco's games produced 1.6 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Lorient's games averaged 1.8, with 1 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 5 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 99%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-3. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.6
avg goals, AS Monaco last 5
1.8
avg goals, Lorient last 5
100%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
2 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

AS Monaco
AS Monaco 1-3 Lyon
Jan 03, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Marseille 1-0 AS Monaco
Dec 14, 2025
Under 2.5✕
AS Monaco 1-0 Galatasaray
Dec 09, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Stade Brestois 29 1-0 AS Monaco
Dec 05, 2025
Under 2.5✕
AS Monaco 1-0 Paris SG
Nov 29, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Lorient
Lorient 1-1 Metz
Jan 04, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Strasbourg 0-0 Lorient
Dec 14, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Lorient 1-0 Lyon
Dec 07, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Lorient 3-1 Nice
Nov 30, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Nantes 1-1 Lorient
Nov 23, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

AS Monaco vs Lorient, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 27, 2025LorientAS Monaco3-1
Over 2.5✓
Mar 17, 2024AS MonacoLorient2-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 17, 2023LorientAS Monaco2-2
Over 2.5✓
Apr 16, 2023AS MonacoLorient3-1
Over 2.5✓
Jan 11, 2023LorientAS Monaco2-2
Over 2.5✓